Premier League (England) · Sun, Dec 7 · 14:00 · Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United
Likeliest: Brighton & Hove Albion win · 71%
A 71% home win. The market says 61%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Brighton & Hove Albion71%61%+9
OursMarket
Draw17%22%−6
OursMarket
West Ham United13%17%−4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 58% | +6 |
| Double chance 1X | 87% | 83% | +4 |
| Double chance X2 | 30% | 39% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 83% | 78% | +6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 85% | 79% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brighton & Hove Albion
WinDrawWinWinLoss
- Dec 3 · v Aston Villa (H)3-4
- Nov 30 · at Nottingham Forest (A)2-0
- Nov 22 · v Brentford (H)2-1
- Nov 9 · at Crystal Palace (A)0-0
- Nov 1 · v Leeds United (H)3-0
West Ham United
WinWinDrawLossDraw
- Dec 4 · at Manchester United (A)1-1
- Nov 30 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
- Nov 22 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)2-2
- Nov 8 · v Burnley (H)3-2
- Nov 2 · v Newcastle United (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Brighton & Hove Albion | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-3-1 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Brighton & Hove Albion form·West Ham United form·Head-to-head record