Championship (England) · Sat, Jan 4 · 15:00 · Bristol City vs Derby County
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bristol City47%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Derby County25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bristol City
Draw
- Jan 1 · at Plymouth Argyle (A)2-2
Derby County
Loss
- Jan 1 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-4