Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 8 · 15:00 · Bristol City vs Hull City
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bristol City46%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Hull City26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bristol City
LossWinDrawWinWin
- Mar 4 · at Millwall (A)2-0
- Feb 21 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Feb 15 · at Cardiff City (A)1-1
- Feb 12 · v Stoke City (H)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Swansea City (H)0-1
Hull City
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Mar 4 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)2-0
- Feb 25 · at Cardiff City (A)0-1
- Feb 22 · at Sunderland (A)1-0
- Feb 15 · v Norwich City (H)1-1
- Feb 12 · at Burnley (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Bristol City | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-2 | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.