Championship (England) · Fri, Feb 21 · 19:45 · Bristol City vs Middlesbrough
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bristol City53%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Middlesbrough23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bristol City
WinDrawLossWinDraw
- Feb 15 · at Cardiff City (A)1-1
- Feb 12 · v Stoke City (H)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Swansea City (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · at Oxford United (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-1
Middlesbrough
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 15 · v Watford (H)0-1
- Feb 12 · at Sheffield United (A)1-3
- Feb 3 · v Sunderland (H)2-3
- Jan 25 · at Preston North End (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Bristol City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 2-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 22% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.