Championship (England) · Fri, Mar 14 · 20:00 · Bristol City vs Norwich City
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bristol City53%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Norwich City21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bristol City
DrawWinWinDrawDraw
- Mar 11 · at Sheffield United (A)1-1
- Mar 8 · v Hull City (H)1-1
- Mar 4 · at Millwall (A)2-0
- Feb 21 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Feb 15 · at Cardiff City (A)1-1
Norwich City
DrawWinDrawDrawLoss
- Mar 11 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)2-3
- Mar 7 · v Oxford United (H)1-1
- Mar 1 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-1
- Feb 22 · v Stoke City (H)4-2
- Feb 15 · at Hull City (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Bristol City | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-5-1 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-2 | 2-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.