Championship (England) · Sat, Jan 24 · 15:00 · Bristol City vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 56%
A 22% away win. The market says 9%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Bristol City56%75%−20
OursMarket
Draw23%16%+7
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday22%9%+13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 60% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 45% | +12 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 91% | −13 |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | 25% | +20 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 84% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | 90% | −17 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bristol City
WinLossWinDrawLoss
- Jan 20 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-2
- Jan 17 · at Oxford United (A)0-0
- Jan 10 · v Watford (H)5-1
- Jan 4 · v Preston North End (H)0-2
- Jan 1 · v Portsmouth (H)5-0
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Jan 20 · v Birmingham City (H)0-2
- Jan 17 · v Portsmouth (H)0-1
- Jan 10 · v Brentford (H)0-2
- Jan 4 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)0-3
- Jan 1 · at Preston North End (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Bristol City | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 0-3-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-1-3 | 1-3-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Bristol City form·Sheffield Wednesday form·Head-to-head record