Championship (England) · Wed, Feb 12 · 19:45 · Bristol City vs Stoke City
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bristol City57%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Stoke City19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 75% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bristol City
LossDrawWinDrawLoss
- Feb 9 · v Swansea City (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · at Oxford United (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-1
- Jan 22 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-2
- Jan 18 · at Coventry City (A)0-1
Stoke City
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Feb 1 · at Hull City (A)2-1
- Jan 25 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Jan 22 · at Portsmouth (A)1-3
- Jan 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Jan 4 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Bristol City | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-3 | 1-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.