Championship (England) · Sun, Feb 9 · 12:00 · Bristol City vs Swansea City
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bristol City56%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Swansea City19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bristol City
LossLossDrawWinDraw
- Feb 1 · at Oxford United (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)2-1
- Jan 22 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-2
- Jan 18 · at Coventry City (A)0-1
- Jan 11 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)1-2
Swansea City
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 1 · v Coventry City (H)0-2
- Jan 25 · at Norwich City (A)1-5
- Jan 21 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at Cardiff City (A)0-3
- Jan 12 · at Southampton (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Bristol City | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-2 | 0-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.