League One (England) · Tue, Oct 20 · 18:45 · Bromley vs Leicester City
Likeliest: Leicester City win · 56%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 56% for the away win. The market says 53%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Bromley19%23%−4
OursMarket
Draw25%24%+1
OursMarket
Leicester City56%53%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | 59% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 44% | 47% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 81% | 77% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 25% | 30% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bromley
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at Stockport County (A)0-1
- Oct 10 · at Mansfield Town (A)1-2
- Oct 6 · at Crawley Town (A)0-4
- Sep 22 · v Brentford U21 (H)0-1
- Sep 19 · v Huddersfield Town (H)2-1
Leicester City
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Oct 17 · v Doncaster Rovers (H)2-1
- Oct 10 · v Peterborough United (H)1-3
- Oct 6 · at Stevenage (A)1-2
- Sep 22 · v Fulham U21 (H)6-1
- Sep 19 · at Barnsley (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Bromley | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-7 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.