League One (England) · Sat, Oct 24 · 14:00 · Bromley vs Peterborough United
Likeliest: Peterborough United win · 41%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. The market says 41%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Bromley32%34%−2
OursMarket
Draw27%25%+2
OursMarket
Peterborough United41%41%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 61% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 68% | 66% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 75% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 44% | 45% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bromley
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at Stockport County (A)0-1
- Oct 10 · at Mansfield Town (A)1-2
- Oct 6 · at Crawley Town (A)0-4
- Sep 22 · v Brentford U21 (H)0-1
- Sep 19 · v Huddersfield Town (H)2-1
Peterborough United
WinLossWinWinDraw
- Oct 17 · v Burton Albion (H)2-2
- Oct 10 · at Leicester City (A)3-1
- Oct 6 · v Ipswich Town U21 (H)4-1
- Sep 26 · at Stockport County (A)0-1
- Sep 22 · v Colchester United (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Bromley | Peterborough United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-7 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.