Premier League (Ukraine) · Sun, Oct 25 · 13:30 · Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Likeliest: Bukovyna Chernivtsi win · 51%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. The market says 50%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Bukovyna Chernivtsi51%50%+1
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+1
OursMarket
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih21%23%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 44% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 50% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 68% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
DrawDrawLossDrawLoss
- Oct 17 · at Kudrivka (A)1-4
- Oct 11 · v Polissya Zhytomyr (H)2-2
- Sep 19 · at Metalist 1925 (A)0-2
- Sep 13 · v Zoria Luhansk (H)1-1
- Sep 6 · at FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi (A)0-0
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
DrawLossDrawLossDraw
- Oct 18 · v LNZ Cherkasy (H)0-0
- Sep 18 · at Polissya Zhytomyr (A)0-1
- Sep 5 · v Kolos Kovalivka (H)2-2
- Aug 30 · at Chornomorets Odesa (A)0-1
- Aug 16 · v FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-5-3 | 1-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-4-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.