Championship (England) · Fri, Jan 17 · 20:00 · Burnley vs Sunderland

    Likeliest: Burnley win · 50%

    A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Burnley50%——
    OursMarket
    Draw25%——
    OursMarket
    Sunderland25%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals36%——
    Double chance 1X75%——
    Double chance X250%——
    Double chance 1275%——
    Draw no bet (home)67%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Burnley
    DrawWin
    • Jan 4 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-0
    • Jan 1 · v Stoke City (H)0-0
    Sunderland
    WinWin
    • Jan 5 · v Portsmouth (H)1-0
    • Jan 1 · v Sheffield United (H)2-1

    Burnley form·Sunderland form·Head-to-head record

    Every match we have priced today