Championship (England) · Tue, Mar 11 · 19:45 · Burnley vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Burnley win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Burnley38%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Burnley
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Mar 8 · v Luton Town (H)4-0
- Mar 4 · at Cardiff City (A)2-1
- Mar 1 · at Preston North End (A)0-3
- Feb 21 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)4-0
- Feb 15 · at Preston North End (A)0-0
West Bromwich Albion
LossDrawWinDrawWin
- Mar 8 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-0
- Mar 1 · at Leeds United (A)1-1
- Feb 22 · v Oxford United (H)2-0
- Feb 15 · at Millwall (A)1-1
- Feb 12 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Burnley | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 10% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 80% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-0 | 0-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.