Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 23 · 19:45 · Cagliari vs Juventus
Likeliest: Cagliari win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Cagliari37%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Juventus35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Cagliari
WinLossLossWinDraw
- Feb 15 · at Atalanta (A)0-0
- Feb 9 · v Parma (H)2-1
- Feb 3 · v Lazio (H)1-2
- Jan 24 · at Torino (A)0-2
- Jan 19 · v Lecce (H)4-1
Juventus
LossWinWinWinWin
- Feb 16 · v Inter (H)1-0
- Feb 11 · v PSV (H)2-1
- Feb 7 · at Como (A)2-1
- Feb 2 · v Empoli (H)4-1
- Jan 29 · v Benfica (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Cagliari | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-2 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-3-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.