Serie A (Italy) · Mon, Feb 3 · 19:45 · Cagliari vs Lazio
Likeliest: Cagliari win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Cagliari41%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Lazio31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Cagliari
WinDrawWinLoss
- Jan 24 · at Torino (A)0-2
- Jan 19 · v Lecce (H)4-1
- Jan 11 · at Milan (A)1-1
- Jan 5 · at Monza (A)2-1
Lazio
DrawWinWinLossLoss
- Jan 30 · at Sporting Braga (A)0-1
- Jan 26 · v Fiorentina (H)1-2
- Jan 23 · v Real Sociedad (H)3-1
- Jan 19 · at Hellas Verona (A)3-0
- Jan 10 · v Como (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Cagliari | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 2-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 50% |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% |
| Clean sheets | — | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.