Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 9 · 14:00 · Cagliari vs Parma
Likeliest: Cagliari win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Cagliari43%——
OursMarket
Draw31%——
OursMarket
Parma27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Cagliari
WinDrawWinLossLoss
- Feb 3 · v Lazio (H)1-2
- Jan 24 · at Torino (A)0-2
- Jan 19 · v Lecce (H)4-1
- Jan 11 · at Milan (A)1-1
- Jan 5 · at Monza (A)2-1
Parma
DrawLossDrawLossLoss
- Jan 31 · v Lecce (H)1-3
- Jan 26 · at Milan (A)2-3
- Jan 19 · v Venezia (H)1-1
- Jan 12 · at Genoa (A)0-1
- Jan 5 · at Torino (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Cagliari | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-2 | 0-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.