Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División (Argentina) · Thu, Oct 22 · 18:00 · CD Riestra Reserve vs Central Cordoba Reserve
Likeliest: CD Riestra Reserve win · 74%
Likely score: 2–0
A tight one: we make it 74% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
CD Riestra Reserve74%——
OursMarket
Draw17%——
OursMarket
Central Cordoba Reserve9%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 91% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 26% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 83% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 89% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.4 | 0.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
CD Riestra Reserve
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 14 · at San Martin Reserve (A)0-2
- Oct 7 · v Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve (H)3-1
- Oct 1 · at Colón Reserve (A)1-0
- Sep 24 · v Barracas Central Reserve (H)3-0
- Sep 17 · at Belgrano Reserve (A)1-2
Central Cordoba Reserve
WinLossDrawLossLoss
- Oct 15 · v Belgrano Reserve (H)1-2
- Oct 8 · at Lanús Reserve (A)0-3
- Sep 30 · v Newell's Old Boys Reserve (H)1-1
- Sep 22 · v Atlético Tucumán Reserve (H)0-1
- Sep 15 · at Defensa y Justicia Reserve (A)3-2
| Last 10 games | CD Riestra Reserve | Central Cordoba Reserve |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-0 | 2-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.