La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Nov 9 · 20:00 · Celta de Vigo vs FC Barcelona
Likeliest: FC Barcelona win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Celta de Vigo22%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
FC Barcelona55%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 28% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Celta de Vigo
WinWinWinWinWin
- Nov 6 · at Dinamo Zagreb (A)3-0
- Nov 2 · at Levante (A)2-1
- Oct 30 · at Puerto de Vega (A)2-0
- Oct 26 · at Osasuna (A)3-2
- Oct 23 · v Nice (H)2-1
FC Barcelona
WinWinLossWinDraw
- Nov 5 · at Club Brugge (A)3-3
- Nov 2 · v Elche (H)3-1
- Oct 26 · at Real Madrid (A)1-2
- Oct 21 · v Olympiacos F.C. (H)6-1
- Oct 18 · v Girona (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Celta de Vigo | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-5-2 | 6-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.