Premier League (Egypt) · Wed, Sep 2 · 17:00 · Ceramica Cleopatra vs Modern Sport FC
Likeliest: Ceramica Cleopatra win · 46%
We make it 52% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 38%.
14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Ceramica Cleopatra46%46%0
OursMarket
Draw26%31%−6
OursMarket
Modern Sport FC29%23%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 38% | +14 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 43% | +14 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 77% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 69% | +6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 66% | −5 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ceramica Cleopatra
LossDrawLossLossWin
- Aug 28 · at Al-Ittihad Alexandria (A)3-1
- Aug 23 · v Canal SC (H)1-2
- May 20 · at Zamalek (A)0-1
- May 5 · v Pyramids FC (H)1-1
- May 1 · v Al Masry (H)0-1
Modern Sport FC
DrawLossLossDrawWin
- Aug 27 · v Ghazl El Mahalla (H)2-0
- Aug 23 · at El Gouna FC (A)1-1
- May 29 · at Arab Contractors FC (A)1-3
- May 29 · at Al-Mokawloon (A)1-3
- May 22 · v Ghazl El Mehalla (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Ceramica Cleopatra | Modern Sport FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-5-3 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.