Premier League (Egypt) · Mon, Sep 14 · 17:00 · Ceramica Cleopatra vs National Bank of Egypt
Likeliest: draw · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the draw. The market says 33%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Ceramica Cleopatra33%35%−3
OursMarket
Draw36%33%+3
OursMarket
National Bank of Egypt32%32%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 39% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 51% | 48% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 68% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 68% | 65% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 64% | 67% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ceramica Cleopatra
LossLossWinWinWin
- Sep 8 · at Smouha (A)2-0
- Sep 2 · v Modern Sport FC (H)2-0
- Aug 28 · at Al-Ittihad Alexandria (A)3-1
- Aug 23 · v Canal SC (H)1-2
- May 20 · at Zamalek (A)0-1
National Bank of Egypt
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Sep 7 · v Ghazl El Mahalla (H)3-1
- Aug 31 · at Asyut Petroleum (A)1-0
- Aug 26 · v Zamalek SC (H)0-3
- Aug 21 · at Abu Qair Semad (A)0-1
- May 29 · v Al-Ittihad Alexandria (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Ceramica Cleopatra | National Bank of Egypt |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.