Pro League (Belgium) · Sat, Oct 10 · 14:00 · Cercle Brugge vs RSC Anderlecht
Likeliest: RSC Anderlecht win · 50%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 50% for the away win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Cercle Brugge26%27%−1
OursMarket
Draw24%25%−1
OursMarket
RSC Anderlecht50%48%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 58% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 34% | 36% | −1 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Cercle Brugge
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Sep 19 · at RC Sporting Charleroi (A)2-3
- Sep 12 · at Oud-Heverlee Leuven (A)1-1
- Sep 6 · v KAA Gent (H)0-3
- Aug 29 · v Lommel SK (H)0-1
- Aug 23 · at Club Brugge KV (A)0-1
RSC Anderlecht
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Sep 19 · v SV Zulte Waregem (H)3-0
- Sep 16 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)1-2
- Sep 11 · at KV Mechelen (A)1-0
- Sep 6 · v KRC Genk (H)0-0
- Sep 3 · v KV Kortrijk (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Cercle Brugge | RSC Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-6 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 3-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.