Superliga (Romania) · Sat, Sep 19 · 14:30 · CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botoșani
Likeliest: CFR 1907 Cluj win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. The market says 46%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
CFR 1907 Cluj45%46%0
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
FC Botoșani28%28%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 52% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | 55% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 72% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | 54% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 62% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
CFR 1907 Cluj
LossWinWinDrawLoss
- Sep 12 · at Sepsi OSK (A)1-3
- Sep 4 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)0-0
- Aug 29 · at FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (A)3-2
- Aug 23 · v FCSB (H)1-0
- Aug 16 · at FC Corvinul Hunedoara (A)0-3
FC Botoșani
LossWinDrawWinDraw
- Sep 13 · at FC Argeș Pitești (A)1-1
- Sep 5 · v Sepsi OSK (H)5-0
- Aug 30 · at FC Farul Constanța (A)0-0
- Aug 24 · v FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (H)1-0
- Aug 17 · at FCSB (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | CFR 1907 Cluj | FC Botoșani |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | 0-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.