Superliga (Romania) · Sun, Oct 25 · 17:00 · CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Dinamo București
Likeliest: FC Dinamo București win · 48%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 48% for the away win. The market says 46%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
CFR 1907 Cluj23%27%−4
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+1
OursMarket
FC Dinamo București48%46%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 51% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 52% | 54% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 77% | 73% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 33% | 37% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
CFR 1907 Cluj
LossWinLossWinLoss
- Oct 18 · at UTA Arad (A)0-1
- Oct 12 · at FC Argeș Pitești (A)1-0
- Oct 8 · v FC Universitatea Cluj (H)1-3
- Sep 19 · v FC Botoșani (H)3-1
- Sep 12 · at Sepsi OSK (A)1-3
FC Dinamo București
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 16 · v FC Botoșani (H)2-0
- Oct 9 · at Sepsi OSK (A)2-0
- Sep 20 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)4-0
- Sep 11 · at FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (A)3-1
- Sep 5 · v FCSB (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | CFR 1907 Cluj | FC Dinamo București |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 8-2-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-2 | 3-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.