Superliga (Romania) · Thu, Oct 8 · 17:30 · CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Universitatea Cluj
Likeliest: CFR 1907 Cluj win · 39%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. The market says 41%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
CFR 1907 Cluj39%41%−2
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+2
OursMarket
FC Universitatea Cluj33%33%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 53% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | 56% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | 67% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 59% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | 56% | −1 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
CFR 1907 Cluj
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Sep 19 · v FC Botoșani (H)3-1
- Sep 12 · at Sepsi OSK (A)1-3
- Sep 4 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)0-0
- Aug 29 · at FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (A)3-2
- Aug 23 · v FCSB (H)1-0
FC Universitatea Cluj
LossLossLossWinWin
- Sep 20 · at FC Voluntari (A)2-0
- Sep 14 · v SC Oțelul Galați (H)3-0
- Sep 7 · at Universitatea Craiova (A)0-4
- Aug 28 · v FC Petrolul Ploieşti (H)2-3
- Aug 22 · at FC Dinamo București (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | CFR 1907 Cluj | FC Universitatea Cluj |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 1-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.