Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Fri, Oct 23 · 13:15 · Chador Malu Yazd vs Esteghlal FC
Likeliest: Esteghlal FC win · 45%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 45% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Chador Malu Yazd23%——
OursMarket
Draw32%——
OursMarket
Esteghlal FC45%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 68% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 33% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.7 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Chador Malu Yazd
DrawWinWinDrawWin
- Oct 18 · at Zob Ahan (A)2-1
- Oct 9 · v Kheybar Khorramabad FC (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at Sanat Naft Abadan (A)2-1
- Sep 6 · v Shams Azar Qazvin (H)1-0
- Sep 1 · at Esteghlal Khuzestan (A)1-1
Esteghlal FC
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Oct 18 · v Gol Gohar Sirjan (H)1-0
- Oct 12 · at Al-Gharafa (A)2-1
- Oct 8 · at Tractor FC (A)1-1
- Sep 14 · v Al-Sadd (H)3-0
- Sep 10 · v Paykan (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Chador Malu Yazd | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 6-4-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 70% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-2 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.