Championship (England) · Sat, Apr 25 · 11:30 · Charlton Athletic vs Hull City
Likeliest: Charlton Athletic win · 43%
A 43% home win. The market says 33%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Charlton Athletic43%33%+9
OursMarket
Draw28%29%−1
OursMarket
Hull City30%38%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 49% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 55% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 62% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 67% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 71% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | 47% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Charlton Athletic
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Apr 22 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-2
- Apr 18 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)1-1
- Apr 11 · v Preston North End (H)1-2
- Apr 6 · at Watford (A)1-1
- Apr 3 · v Bristol City (H)1-2
Hull City
DrawDrawLossDrawDraw
- Apr 21 · at Leicester City (A)2-2
- Apr 18 · v Birmingham City (H)1-1
- Apr 11 · at Sheffield United (A)1-2
- Apr 6 · v Coventry City (H)0-0
- Apr 3 · at Oxford United (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Charlton Athletic | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-7 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.