Championship (England) · Sat, Oct 24 · 11:30 · Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City
Likeliest: Norwich City win · 47%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 47% for the away win. The market says 45%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Charlton Athletic25%29%−4
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+1
OursMarket
Norwich City47%45%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 53% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 75% | 71% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 35% | 39% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Charlton Athletic
DrawLossDrawDrawLoss
- Oct 17 · at Watford (A)0-2
- Oct 13 · at Burnley (A)2-2
- Oct 10 · v Bristol City (H)1-1
- Sep 19 · at Cardiff City (A)1-3
- Sep 12 · v Portsmouth (H)0-0
Norwich City
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · v Portsmouth (H)0-1
- Oct 14 · v Southampton (H)0-1
- Oct 10 · at Swansea City (A)1-2
- Sep 20 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)3-4
- Sep 17 · at Manchester City (A)0-5
| Last 10 games | Charlton Athletic | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-5-4 | 3-0-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 4-0-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Charlton Athletic form·Norwich City form·Head-to-head record