Championship (England) · Sat, Apr 11 · 14:00 · Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Charlton Athletic win · 50%
A 50% home win. The market says 44%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Charlton Athletic50%44%+6
OursMarket
Draw26%28%−2
OursMarket
Preston North End24%28%−4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 45% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 44% | 51% | −7 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 56% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 62% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Charlton Athletic
WinDrawLossLossDraw
- Apr 6 · at Watford (A)1-1
- Apr 3 · v Bristol City (H)1-2
- Mar 21 · v Norwich City (H)0-1
- Mar 14 · at Oxford United (A)1-1
- Mar 11 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-0
Preston North End
LossLossWinDrawDraw
- Apr 6 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-1
- Apr 3 · at Leicester City (A)2-2
- Mar 20 · v Stoke City (H)3-1
- Mar 14 · at Norwich City (A)0-2
- Mar 11 · at Coventry City (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Charlton Athletic | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-6 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Charlton Athletic form·Preston North End form·Head-to-head record