Championship (England) · Sat, Aug 29 · 14:00 · Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Charlton Athletic win · 62%
A 62% home win. The market says 45%.
16 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Charlton Athletic62%45%+16
OursMarket
Draw20%28%−8
OursMarket
Preston North End18%26%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 44% | +22 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | 74% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 38% | 55% | −16 |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | 72% | +8 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | 63% | +14 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Charlton Athletic
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Aug 26 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)1-5
- Aug 22 · at West Ham United (A)2-1
- Aug 15 · v Derby County (H)2-1
- Aug 8 · at Cheltenham Town (A)3-1
- May 2 · at Swansea City (A)1-3
Preston North End
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Aug 26 · v Everton (H)0-4
- Aug 22 · v Wolverhampton (H)1-3
- Aug 15 · at Bolton Wanderers (A)1-2
- Aug 8 · v Huddersfield Town (H)1-1
- May 2 · v Southampton (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | Charlton Athletic | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-6 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Charlton Athletic form·Preston North End form·Head-to-head record