Championship (England) · Fri, Feb 6 · 20:01 · Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Charlton Athletic win · 39%
We make it 50% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 42%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Charlton Athletic39%34%+5
OursMarket
Draw25%31%−5
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers36%36%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 42% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 64% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 66% | −5 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 69% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 49% | +4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Charlton Athletic
LossWinLossLossWin
- Jan 31 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Jan 24 · at Millwall (A)0-4
- Jan 20 · v Derby County (H)1-2
- Jan 17 · v Sheffield United (H)1-0
- Jan 10 · v Chelsea (H)1-5
Queens Park Rangers
LossDrawDrawLossWin
- Jan 31 · v Coventry City (H)2-1
- Jan 24 · v Wrexham (H)2-3
- Jan 20 · at Oxford United (A)0-0
- Jan 17 · at Stoke City (A)0-0
- Jan 11 · at West Ham United (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Charlton Athletic | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Charlton Athletic form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record