Championship (England) · Wed, Sep 9 · 19:00 · Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Charlton Athletic win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. The market says 30%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Charlton Athletic51%30%+21
OursMarket
Draw26%28%−3
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers23%42%−19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 58% | +19 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 70% | −21 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 42% | +27 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Charlton Athletic
WinLossWinDrawLoss
- Sep 5 · at Stoke City (A)0-4
- Sep 2 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
- Aug 29 · v Preston North End (H)1-0
- Aug 26 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)1-5
- Aug 22 · at West Ham United (A)2-1
Queens Park Rangers
WinDrawWinWinLoss
- Sep 5 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-1
- Sep 2 · v Cardiff City (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)0-0
- Aug 15 · at Portsmouth (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Charlton Athletic | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-6 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Charlton Athletic form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record