Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Charlton Athletic vs Swansea City

    Likeliest: Charlton Athletic win · 55%

    A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Charlton Athletic55%——
    OursMarket
    Draw23%——
    OursMarket
    Swansea City22%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals65%——
    Double chance 1X78%——
    Double chance X245%——
    Double chance 1277%——
    Draw no bet (home)71%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Charlton Athletic
    DrawLossWinWinDraw
    • Oct 25 · at Hull City (A)1-1
    • Oct 21 · at Ipswich Town (A)3-0
    • Oct 18 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)2-1
    • Oct 4 · at Preston North End (A)0-2
    • Sep 30 · at Derby County (A)1-1
    Swansea City
    LossDrawLossWinLoss
    • Oct 29 · v Manchester City (H)1-3
    • Oct 25 · v Norwich City (H)2-1
    • Oct 22 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)0-1
    • Oct 18 · at Southampton (A)0-0
    • Oct 4 · v Leicester City (H)1-3
    Last 10 gamesCharlton AthleticSwansea City
    Won-drawn-lost4-3-33-3-4
    Goals scored a game1.41.2
    Goals conceded a game1.21.5
    Over 2.5 goals50%60%
    Both teams scored60%70%
    Clean sheets30%10%
    Last 10 at this venue8-1-14-2-4

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Charlton Athletic form·Swansea City form·Head-to-head record

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