Women's Super League (England) · Sat, Sep 19 · 11:30 · Charlton Athletic WFC vs London City Lionesses
Likeliest: London City Lionesses win · 84%
A 84% away win. The market says 79%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Charlton Athletic WFC5%7%−3
OursMarket
Draw12%13%−2
OursMarket
London City Lionesses84%79%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 17% | 21% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 95% | 93% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 88% | 87% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 5% | 8% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Charlton Athletic WFC
LossLoss
- Sep 13 · at Everton (A)0-1
- Sep 6 · v Liverpool FC (H)0-4
London City Lionesses
WinLoss
- Sep 12 · at West Ham United (A)1-2
- Sep 4 · v Manchester United (H)2-1