Premier League (England) · Tue, Jan 14 · 19:30 · Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth
Likeliest: Chelsea win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Chelsea44%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
AFC Bournemouth33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Chelsea
DrawWin
- Jan 11 · v Morecambe (H)5-0
- Jan 4 · at Crystal Palace (A)1-1
AFC Bournemouth
WinWin
- Jan 11 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)5-1
- Jan 4 · v Everton (H)1-0