Premier League (England) · Mon, Feb 3 · 20:00 · Chelsea vs West Ham United
Likeliest: Chelsea win · 58%
A tight one: we make it 58% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Chelsea58%——
OursMarket
Draw20%——
OursMarket
West Ham United21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Chelsea
DrawWinDrawWinLoss
- Jan 25 · at Manchester City (A)1-3
- Jan 20 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)3-1
- Jan 14 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-2
- Jan 11 · v Morecambe (H)5-0
- Jan 4 · at Crystal Palace (A)1-1
West Ham United
LossLossWinLossDraw
- Jan 26 · at Aston Villa (A)1-1
- Jan 18 · v Crystal Palace (H)0-2
- Jan 14 · v Fulham (H)3-2
- Jan 10 · at Aston Villa (A)1-2
- Jan 4 · at Manchester City (A)1-4
| Last 10 games | Chelsea | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-1 | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.