Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 20:00 · Chelsea vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Likeliest: Chelsea win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Chelsea57%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Wolverhampton Wanderers21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Chelsea
WinLossWinWinDraw
- Nov 5 · at Qarabağ (A)2-2
- Nov 1 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)1-0
- Oct 29 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)4-3
- Oct 25 · v Sunderland (H)1-2
- Oct 22 · v Ajax (H)5-1
Wolverhampton Wanderers
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- Nov 1 · at Fulham (A)0-3
- Oct 29 · v Chelsea (H)3-4
- Oct 26 · v Burnley (H)2-3
- Oct 18 · at Sunderland (A)0-2
- Oct 5 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Chelsea | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 1-2-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Chelsea form·Wolverhampton Wanderers form·Head-to-head record