Premier League (Ukraine) · Sat, Oct 10 · 10:00 · Chornomorets Odesa vs Metalist 1925
Likeliest: Metalist 1925 win · 59%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 59% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Chornomorets Odesa15%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Metalist 192559%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 85% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 20% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.7 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Chornomorets Odesa
LossWinDrawLossDraw
- Sep 18 · v Obolon Kyiv (H)1-1
- Sep 14 · at Shakhtar Donetsk (A)0-2
- Sep 4 · v FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv (H)0-0
- Aug 30 · v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih (H)1-0
- Aug 16 · at LNZ Cherkasy (A)0-2
Metalist 1925
WinLossLossWinWin
- Sep 19 · v Bukovyna Chernivtsi (H)2-0
- Aug 31 · at Zoria Luhansk (A)3-0
- Aug 16 · v Shakhtar Donetsk (H)0-1
- Aug 10 · at Polissya Zhytomyr (A)1-3
- Aug 1 · v Veres Rivne (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Chornomorets Odesa | Metalist 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 4-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 17% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 67% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.