División Profesional (Bolivia) · Sun, Oct 25 · 21:15 · Club Aurora vs CD Real Tomayapo
Likeliest: Club Aurora win · 57%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Club Aurora57%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
CD Real Tomayapo17%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Club Aurora
WinWinLossDrawLoss
- Oct 17 · at CDT Real Oruro (A)0-1
- Oct 11 · v Nacional Potosí (H)2-2
- Sep 16 · at Guabirá (A)1-3
- Sep 11 · at San Antonio Bulo-Bulo (A)2-0
- Sep 5 · v GV San José (H)3-0
CD Real Tomayapo
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Oct 17 · v GV San José (H)1-0
- Oct 9 · at San Antonio Bulo-Bulo (A)0-0
- Sep 17 · v Oriente Petrolero (H)0-2
- Sep 13 · v Bolívar (H)1-2
- Sep 6 · at The Strongest (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Club Aurora | CD Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-1 | 2-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.