Pro League (Belgium) · Sun, Aug 23 · 16:30 · Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge
Likeliest: Club Brugge KV win · 73%
We make it 38% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 27%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Club Brugge KV73%73%0
OursMarket
Draw16%16%0
OursMarket
Cercle Brugge11%11%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 73% | −11 |
| Both teams score | 64% | 59% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 89% | 89% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 85% | 84% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 87% | 87% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Club Brugge KV
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Aug 15 · at Oud-Heverlee Leuven (A)3-0
- Aug 7 · v KV Kortrijk (H)3-0
- May 24 · v KAA Gent (H)5-0
- May 24 · v Gent (H)5-0
- May 21 · at Mechelen (A)2-2
Cercle Brugge
WinLossLossDrawDraw
- Aug 14 · v Sint-Truidense VV (H)3-3
- Aug 8 · at Standard Liège (A)2-2
- May 9 · at La Louvière (A)1-4
- May 1 · v Zulte-Waregem (H)2-3
- Apr 24 · v Dender (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Club Brugge KV | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 9-1-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 9-1-0 | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.