Pro League (Belgium) · Sun, Oct 25 · 15:00 · Club Brugge KV vs Sint-Truidense VV
Likeliest: Club Brugge KV win · 71%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 71% for the home win. The market says 70%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Club Brugge KV71%70%0
OursMarket
Draw17%16%0
OursMarket
Sint-Truidense VV13%13%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 71% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | 59% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 87% | 87% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 83% | 84% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 85% | 84% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 2.5 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Club Brugge KV
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · v KSC Lokeren-Temse (H)1-0
- Oct 13 · at Inter Milan (A)4-3
- Oct 10 · at RAAL La Louvière (A)4-1
- Sep 20 · v KRC Genk (H)3-0
- Sep 13 · v Royal Antwerp FC (H)3-1
Sint-Truidense VV
LossLossLossWinWin
- Oct 18 · v Lommel SK (H)4-1
- Oct 15 · v FC Iberia 1999 (H)2-0
- Oct 11 · at KV Mechelen (A)3-4
- Sep 20 · v KVC Westerlo (H)0-2
- Sep 12 · at SK Beveren (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Club Brugge KV | Sint-Truidense VV |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-0-2 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 9-0-1 | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.