Leagues Cup (North & Central America) · Wed, Aug 26 · 02:30 · Club León vs Real Salt Lake
Likeliest: Club León win · 44%
We make it 57% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 42%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Club León44%37%+7
OursMarket
Draw26%26%−1
OursMarket
Real Salt Lake31%37%−6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 58% | −15 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 60% | −5 |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | 63% | +6 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 63% | −7 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | 50% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Club León
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Aug 22 · v CF Monterrey (H)2-0
- Aug 18 · at Club Necaxa (A)2-1
- Aug 12 · at Inter Miami CF (A)0-0
- Aug 8 · at Orlando City SC (A)2-1
- Aug 6 · at Nashville SC (A)1-0
Real Salt Lake
WinWinDrawLossLoss
- Aug 22 · at Orlando City SC (A)1-2
- Aug 20 · v FC Dallas (H)3-4
- Aug 16 · v Minnesota United (H)1-1
- Aug 12 · v FC Juárez (H)3-0
- Aug 9 · v Atlante FC (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | Club León | Real Salt Lake |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-2 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.