Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Jan 25 · 14:00 · Como vs Atalanta
Likeliest: Como win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Como45%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Atalanta26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Como
DrawLossWin
- Jan 20 · v Udinese (H)4-1
- Jan 14 · v Milan (H)1-2
- Jan 10 · at Lazio (A)1-1
Atalanta
DrawDrawLossWin
- Jan 21 · v Sturm Graz (H)5-0
- Jan 18 · v Napoli (H)2-3
- Jan 14 · v Juventus (H)1-1
- Jan 11 · at Udinese (A)0-0