Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Nov 8 · 14:00 · Como vs Cagliari
Likeliest: Como win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Como40%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Cagliari33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Como
DrawWinDrawWinDraw
- Nov 1 · at Napoli (A)0-0
- Oct 29 · v Hellas Verona (H)3-1
- Oct 25 · at Parma (A)0-0
- Oct 19 · v Juventus (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
Cagliari
DrawLossDrawLossLoss
- Nov 3 · at Lazio (A)0-2
- Oct 30 · v Sassuolo (H)1-2
- Oct 26 · at Hellas Verona (A)2-2
- Oct 19 · v Bologna (H)0-2
- Oct 5 · at Udinese (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Como | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-5-1 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.