Serie A (Italy) · Wed, Oct 29 · 17:30 · Como vs Hellas Verona
Likeliest: Como win · 63%
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Como63%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Hellas Verona16%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 84% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 79% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Como
WinDrawDrawWinDraw
- Oct 25 · at Parma (A)0-0
- Oct 19 · v Juventus (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
- Sep 28 · v Cremonese (H)1-1
- Sep 24 · v Sassuolo (H)3-0
Hellas Verona
DrawLossLossDrawDraw
- Oct 26 · v Cagliari (H)2-2
- Oct 18 · at Pisa (A)0-0
- Oct 3 · v Sassuolo (H)0-1
- Sep 28 · at Roma (A)0-2
- Sep 20 · v Juventus (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Como | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-4-1 | 1-6-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.