Serie A (Italy) · Fri, Feb 7 · 19:45 · Como vs Juventus
Likeliest: Como win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Como47%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Juventus25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Como
DrawLossWinLossLoss
- Feb 1 · at Bologna (A)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Atalanta (H)1-2
- Jan 20 · v Udinese (H)4-1
- Jan 14 · v Milan (H)1-2
- Jan 10 · at Lazio (A)1-1
Juventus
WinDrawLossLossWin
- Feb 2 · v Empoli (H)4-1
- Jan 29 · v Benfica (H)0-2
- Jan 25 · at Napoli (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · at Club Brugge (A)0-0
- Jan 18 · v Milan (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Como | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-3 | 2-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 29% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.