Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 23 · 11:30 · Como vs Napoli
Likeliest: Como win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Como52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Napoli24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Como
WinLossLossLossWin
- Feb 16 · at Fiorentina (A)2-0
- Feb 7 · v Juventus (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · at Bologna (A)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Atalanta (H)1-2
- Jan 20 · v Udinese (H)4-1
Napoli
WinWinDrawDrawDraw
- Feb 15 · at Lazio (A)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Udinese (H)1-1
- Feb 2 · at Roma (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Juventus (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at Atalanta (A)3-2
| Last 10 games | Como | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-4 | 4-3-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.