V-League (Vietnam) · Thu, Oct 22 · 12:15 · Công An Hà Nội vs Đông Á Thanh Hóa
Likeliest: Công An Hà Nội win · 70%
Likely score: 2–0
A tight one: we make it 70% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Công An Hà Nội70%——
OursMarket
Draw18%——
OursMarket
Đông Á Thanh Hóa12%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 88% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 30% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 82% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 86% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.4 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Công An Hà Nội
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 18 · v Hà Nội (H)1-2
- Oct 13 · v Kashima Antlers (H)0-1
- Sep 20 · at Trường Tươi Đồng Nai (A)3-0
- Sep 15 · at Gamba Osaka (A)1-4
- Sep 10 · at Thể Công - Viettel (A)1-0
Đông Á Thanh Hóa
LossWinLossWinLoss
- Oct 17 · v Nam Định (H)0-2
- Oct 10 · at Hải Phòng (A)2-1
- Sep 11 · at Phù Đổng Ninh Bình (A)1-2
- Sep 6 · v SHB Đà Nẵng (H)3-2
- Jun 7 · at SHB Đà Nẵng (A)0-4
| Last 10 games | Công An Hà Nội | Đông Á Thanh Hóa |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-5 | 2-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-0-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.