Friendly International (World) · Sat, Oct 3 · 20:00 · Côte d'Ivoire vs Cameroon
Likeliest: Côte d'Ivoire win · 63%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Côte d'Ivoire63%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Cameroon15%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 81% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Côte d'Ivoire
LossWinLossWinWin
- Sep 29 · at Somalia (A)2-0
- Sep 24 · v Ghana (H)2-0
- Jun 30 · v Norway (H)1-2
- Jun 25 · at Curaçao (A)2-0
- Jun 20 · at Germany (A)1-2
Cameroon
DrawLossWinWinDraw
- Sep 29 · at Congo Republic (A)1-1
- Sep 24 · v Comoros (H)3-1
- Mar 31 · v China PR (H)2-0
- Mar 27 · at Australia (A)0-1
- Jun 9 · at Equatorial Guinea (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Côte d'Ivoire | Cameroon |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-0-2 | 3-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.