Championship (England) · Mon, Dec 29 · 18:00 · Coventry City vs Ipswich Town
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 54%
A 54% home win. The market says 41%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Coventry City54%41%+12
OursMarket
Draw23%28%−5
OursMarket
Ipswich Town23%31%−7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 51% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 69% | +7 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 59% | −13 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 72% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 57% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Coventry City
LossDrawWinDrawWin
- Dec 26 · v Swansea City (H)1-0
- Dec 20 · at Southampton (A)1-1
- Dec 13 · v Bristol City (H)1-0
- Dec 9 · at Preston North End (A)1-1
- Dec 6 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-3
Ipswich Town
WinWinLossWinDraw
- Dec 26 · at Millwall (A)0-0
- Dec 20 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)3-1
- Dec 13 · at Leicester City (A)1-3
- Dec 10 · v Stoke City (H)1-0
- Dec 6 · v Coventry City (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | Coventry City | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-2-1 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 9-1-0 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.