Championship (England) · Wed, Mar 11 · 20:00 · Coventry City vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 61%
We make it 60% for both teams to score. The market says 55%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Coventry City61%65%−3
OursMarket
Draw20%20%0
OursMarket
Preston North End19%15%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 61% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 55% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | 85% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 39% | 35% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | 80% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | 81% | −5 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Coventry City
WinWinWinWinWin
- Mar 7 · at Bristol City (A)2-0
- Feb 28 · v Stoke City (H)2-1
- Feb 25 · at Sheffield United (A)2-1
- Feb 21 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)2-0
- Feb 16 · v Middlesbrough (H)3-1
Preston North End
DrawLossDrawLossLoss
- Mar 6 · v Oxford United (H)1-3
- Feb 28 · v Millwall (H)0-2
- Feb 24 · at Swansea City (A)1-1
- Feb 20 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-1
- Feb 14 · v Watford (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Coventry City | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 1-3-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 8-1-1 | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Coventry City form·Preston North End form·Head-to-head record